Daily

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Important dates:

  • (purple dashed lines) May 14: Stay-at-Home reversed; May 25: Memorial Day; July 4: Independence Day

  • (green dashed lines) March 25: Stay-at-Home order; Aug 1: WI mask mandate

Note: due to lag time between exposure and final positive test, effects of changes are typically observed about two weeks after event.

Comment: Why a 7-day moving average? Wisconsin tends to have cyclical patterns in testing results, with low spots typically on Mondays (this may be due to lower testing on weekends)

Eau Claire

Chippewa

Barron

Wisconsin

Active

Active cases: Estimated recovery time from health experts varies between 10-20 days, with rare cases being long-term / on-going. Even given the testing lag, a conservative approximation is to use the total number of positive (diagnosed) cases across the last 10 days. We will go with this standard, along with a range from 8-12 days of active accumulation, and adjust as more precise information becomes available.

Eau Claire

Chippewa

Barron

Wisconsin

Cumulative

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Eau Claire

Eau Claire cumulative counts of COVID cases and outcomes
DATE POSITIVE NEGATIVE DEATHS New In Last 10days New In Last 15days
August 05 2020 531 14107 4 98 124
August 06 2020 541 14189 4 105 132
August 07 2020 563 14218 4 122 142
August 08 2020 574 14732 4 126 151
August 09 2020 588 14814 4 126 155
August 10 2020 590 15225 4 116 157
August 11 2020 596 15314 4 111 160
August 12 2020 612 15463 4 109 171
August 13 2020 629 15545 4 122 181
August 14 2020 645 15803 4 128 183

Chippewa

Chippewa cumulative counts of COVID cases and outcomes
DATE POSITIVE NEGATIVE DEATHS New In Last 10days New In Last 15days
August 05 2020 213 10063 0 21 48
August 06 2020 218 10151 0 24 46
August 07 2020 223 10250 0 25 46
August 08 2020 227 10350 0 29 44
August 09 2020 230 10416 0 27 42
August 10 2020 239 10475 0 31 47
August 11 2020 241 10505 0 32 47
August 12 2020 244 10621 0 35 46
August 13 2020 252 10687 0 42 54
August 14 2020 259 10776 0 47 56

Barron

Barron cumulative counts of COVID cases and outcomes
DATE POSITIVE NEGATIVE DEATHS New In Last 10days New In Last 15days
August 05 2020 273 5920 3 157 195
August 06 2020 276 5936 3 151 194
August 07 2020 282 6029 3 149 195
August 08 2020 291 6109 3 146 195
August 09 2020 293 6110 3 86 194
August 10 2020 295 6122 3 67 179
August 11 2020 296 6159 3 43 171
August 12 2020 308 6207 3 53 175
August 13 2020 315 6366 3 56 170
August 14 2020 320 6584 3 56 113

Wisconsin

Wisconsin cumulative counts of COVID cases and outcomes
DATE POSITIVE NEGATIVE DEATHS New In Last 10days New In Last 15days
August 05 2020 56940 944984 970 8113 12805
August 06 2020 57779 961851 978 8362 12932
August 07 2020 58768 974948 990 8589 12869
August 08 2020 59933 986945 996 8884 13016
August 09 2020 60554 993742 998 8446 12684
August 10 2020 61061 1001402 998 8121 12234
August 11 2020 61785 1014277 1006 7783 12368
August 12 2020 62263 1023723 1011 7339 12084
August 13 2020 63206 1035195 1018 7878 12157
August 14 2020 64227 1044613 1025 8171 12119

References

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Reliable Updated Visuals

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Modeling

[1] "The number of  cumulative deaths, at a lag of 28 days, are approximately 23.2 times number of cumulative cases to the 0.36 power."
[1] "We thus predict that on 2020-09-11 the cumulative number of deaths in WI will be 1215"