Daily
Column
Important dates:
(purple dashed lines) May 14: Stay-at-Home reversed; May 25: Memorial Day; July 4: Independence Day
(green dashed lines) March 25: Stay-at-Home order; Aug 1: WI mask mandate
Note: due to lag time between exposure and final positive test, effects of changes are typically observed about two weeks after event.
Comment: Why a 7-day moving average? Wisconsin tends to have cyclical patterns in testing results, with low spots typically on Mondays (this may be due to lower testing on weekends)
Eau Claire
Chippewa
Barron
Wisconsin
Active
Active cases: Estimated recovery time from health experts varies between 10-20 days, with rare cases being long-term / on-going. Even given the testing lag, a conservative approximation is to use the total number of positive (diagnosed) cases across the last 10 days. We will go with this standard, along with a range from 8-12 days of active accumulation, and adjust as more precise information becomes available.
Eau Claire
Chippewa
Barron
Wisconsin
Cumulative
Column
Eau Claire
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | New In Last 10days | New In Last 15days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 05 2020 | 531 | 14107 | 4 | 98 | 124 |
| August 06 2020 | 541 | 14189 | 4 | 105 | 132 |
| August 07 2020 | 563 | 14218 | 4 | 122 | 142 |
| August 08 2020 | 574 | 14732 | 4 | 126 | 151 |
| August 09 2020 | 588 | 14814 | 4 | 126 | 155 |
| August 10 2020 | 590 | 15225 | 4 | 116 | 157 |
| August 11 2020 | 596 | 15314 | 4 | 111 | 160 |
| August 12 2020 | 612 | 15463 | 4 | 109 | 171 |
| August 13 2020 | 629 | 15545 | 4 | 122 | 181 |
| August 14 2020 | 645 | 15803 | 4 | 128 | 183 |
Chippewa
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | New In Last 10days | New In Last 15days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 05 2020 | 213 | 10063 | 0 | 21 | 48 |
| August 06 2020 | 218 | 10151 | 0 | 24 | 46 |
| August 07 2020 | 223 | 10250 | 0 | 25 | 46 |
| August 08 2020 | 227 | 10350 | 0 | 29 | 44 |
| August 09 2020 | 230 | 10416 | 0 | 27 | 42 |
| August 10 2020 | 239 | 10475 | 0 | 31 | 47 |
| August 11 2020 | 241 | 10505 | 0 | 32 | 47 |
| August 12 2020 | 244 | 10621 | 0 | 35 | 46 |
| August 13 2020 | 252 | 10687 | 0 | 42 | 54 |
| August 14 2020 | 259 | 10776 | 0 | 47 | 56 |
Barron
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | New In Last 10days | New In Last 15days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 05 2020 | 273 | 5920 | 3 | 157 | 195 |
| August 06 2020 | 276 | 5936 | 3 | 151 | 194 |
| August 07 2020 | 282 | 6029 | 3 | 149 | 195 |
| August 08 2020 | 291 | 6109 | 3 | 146 | 195 |
| August 09 2020 | 293 | 6110 | 3 | 86 | 194 |
| August 10 2020 | 295 | 6122 | 3 | 67 | 179 |
| August 11 2020 | 296 | 6159 | 3 | 43 | 171 |
| August 12 2020 | 308 | 6207 | 3 | 53 | 175 |
| August 13 2020 | 315 | 6366 | 3 | 56 | 170 |
| August 14 2020 | 320 | 6584 | 3 | 56 | 113 |
Wisconsin
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | New In Last 10days | New In Last 15days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 05 2020 | 56940 | 944984 | 970 | 8113 | 12805 |
| August 06 2020 | 57779 | 961851 | 978 | 8362 | 12932 |
| August 07 2020 | 58768 | 974948 | 990 | 8589 | 12869 |
| August 08 2020 | 59933 | 986945 | 996 | 8884 | 13016 |
| August 09 2020 | 60554 | 993742 | 998 | 8446 | 12684 |
| August 10 2020 | 61061 | 1001402 | 998 | 8121 | 12234 |
| August 11 2020 | 61785 | 1014277 | 1006 | 7783 | 12368 |
| August 12 2020 | 62263 | 1023723 | 1011 | 7339 | 12084 |
| August 13 2020 | 63206 | 1035195 | 1018 | 7878 | 12157 |
| August 14 2020 | 64227 | 1044613 | 1025 | 8171 | 12119 |
Column
Definitions
Case fatality rate:
Wisconsin
Other information:
References
Column
Data Sources
Reliable Updated Visuals
- Johns Hopkins dashboard (world, national, and county levels)
- National
https://topic.newsbreak.com/covid-19.html?zip=19934&s=dmg_local_briefing.web2
- Wisconsin DHS website, with interactive graphs; subsettable by county
Re-opening Trends: that is, why didn't the first wave end?
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Visual and code references for selected plots
I devised plots that are similar to those found, for example, at the following locations:
- Github repository by coolbaby0208
- Covid Act Now https://covidactnow.org/?s=58173
- A regional breakdown of the United States COVID-19 curve https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/heglc5/oc_a_regional_breakdown_of_the_united_states/
- Minnesota updates from Reddit https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesota/comments/h9j6pj/covid19_update_up_222_230_by_mdh_active_2780/ and https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesota/comments/hfovhg/625_update_34123_positives_360_1406_deaths_9/
- Wisconsin updates (from Redditor unknown-and-alone)
- Wisconsin updates
- https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/hjwthw/oc_countylevel_covid19_case_growth_animation_in/
- https://www.cpp.edu/~clange/covid19/Covid19ReportCaliforniaComp.html
Scientific References for Common Questions
Masks Should I wear a mask in enclosed public spaces? Unequivocally, YES. References for reasoning, using a current (as of July 8) accumulation of over 70 references. A few of my favorites (modeling-wise) are:
- Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis
- Background for modelling: A modelling framework to assess the likely effectiveness of facemasks in combination with ‘lock-down’ in managing the COVID-19 pandemic
- To mask or not to mask: Modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic
- Face Masks Considerably Reduce COVID-19 Cases in Germany: A Synthetic Control Method Approach
A couple more in the works:
- Face mask wearing rate predicts country's COVID-19 death rates
- Association of country-wide coronavirus mortality with demographics, testing, lockdowns, and public wearing of masks (Update June 15, 2020)
- Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection for prevention of COVID-19
Media articles / letters summarizing scientific publications:
Modeling
[1] "The number of cumulative deaths, at a lag of 28 days, are approximately 23.2 times number of cumulative cases to the 0.36 power."[1] "We thus predict that on 2020-09-11 the cumulative number of deaths in WI will be 1215"